1 00:00:01,170 --> 00:00:04,900 An ocean liner is a totally enclosed system. 2 00:00:05,060 --> 00:00:09,120 It has medical, hospitals, emergency rooms. 3 00:00:09,280 --> 00:00:13,530 but it has no kitchens in the bedrooms. There's a dining area. 4 00:00:13,700 --> 00:00:17,890 It's inefficient to put a kitchen in every bedroom 5 00:00:18,090 --> 00:00:20,870 on the ocean liner. Do you understand that? 6 00:00:21,010 --> 00:00:23,800 They have areas set aside for that. 7 00:00:23,950 --> 00:00:28,240 They have a nurse, several nurses, on the ocean liner 8 00:00:28,500 --> 00:00:31,850 but what does a nurse do? A nurse can bandage. 9 00:00:32,100 --> 00:00:34,360 She can close in surgery. 10 00:00:34,510 --> 00:00:36,910 There's no reason why 11 00:00:37,060 --> 00:00:41,330 the future will not have automated systems for doing that. 12 00:00:41,490 --> 00:00:45,890 They can invite a doctor from any area of the globe 13 00:00:46,030 --> 00:00:49,710 on board that boat. They can invite him 14 00:00:49,880 --> 00:00:53,770 as a virtual image or as a symbol manipulator 15 00:00:53,930 --> 00:00:58,240 and that doctor can study the condition without being there. 16 00:00:58,650 --> 00:01:02,920 You have a totally different system. That's why I use the term 17 00:01:03,170 --> 00:01:05,890 'total enclosure systems'. 18 00:01:06,050 --> 00:01:08,910 Each building generates its own electricity. 19 00:01:09,060 --> 00:01:11,350 It provides for all human needs 20 00:01:11,490 --> 00:01:15,830 and even grows or prepares food in the building. 21 00:01:16,030 --> 00:01:19,260 Today you have places where you have fast food. 22 00:01:19,430 --> 00:01:23,380 You have 15 cooks and waitresses and all that. 23 00:01:23,540 --> 00:01:26,890 In the future, you'll be able to extrude the food 24 00:01:27,040 --> 00:01:31,060 very rapidly with no people at all. You don't need people. 25 00:01:31,200 --> 00:01:33,460 You don't need waitresses, cooks, and all. 26 00:01:33,660 --> 00:01:36,160 What you need is the food handled 27 00:01:36,300 --> 00:01:40,380 the way the food is handled by people, only much faster. 28 00:01:40,640 --> 00:01:43,490 Remember, it takes a doctor time to diagnose. 29 00:01:43,690 --> 00:01:48,370 He's got to study the symbols and tell what the problem might be. 30 00:01:48,690 --> 00:01:52,300 Scanning by machine is very fast. 31 00:01:52,540 --> 00:01:56,960 I can't tell you exactly what hospitals will look like 32 00:01:57,160 --> 00:01:59,450 or what the cities will look like. 33 00:01:59,590 --> 00:02:03,240 Although we know that beds would be very similar 34 00:02:03,500 --> 00:02:05,700 only they'd be more flexible. 35 00:02:07,030 --> 00:02:10,380 Not only that, the bed will have monitors built-in. 36 00:02:10,550 --> 00:02:15,700 If there's any kind of emergency, the bed can stimulate you 37 00:02:16,130 --> 00:02:21,700 out of that emergency and call for help without you even knowing it. 38 00:02:21,860 --> 00:02:25,550 If you have palpitations or unusual physical conditions 39 00:02:25,700 --> 00:02:28,380 while you're asleep, a staff would arrive. 40 00:02:29,200 --> 00:02:33,200 When I say 'total enclosure' I mean 41 00:02:33,340 --> 00:02:38,920 methods for dealing with all problems that humans might have. 42 00:02:39,280 --> 00:02:42,490 Does that mean there won't be a kitchen in every home? 43 00:02:42,750 --> 00:02:45,360 There will be, during the transition. 44 00:02:45,510 --> 00:02:49,440 Until we realize, instead of having 5,000 homes 45 00:02:49,580 --> 00:02:53,420 with 5,000 sinks and 5,000 ovens 46 00:02:53,610 --> 00:02:57,620 and refrigerators, you have gigantic refrigerators 47 00:02:57,780 --> 00:03:01,840 and a food preparation system. Do you understand that? 48 00:03:02,020 --> 00:03:04,300 It will not be like it is today. 49 00:03:04,450 --> 00:03:07,780 When people look at these cities that I drew up here 50 00:03:07,920 --> 00:03:10,730 they picture conventional approaches: 51 00:03:10,870 --> 00:03:15,150 a bedroom, a kitchen, a dining room, a dining area 52 00:03:15,320 --> 00:03:17,920 because you have people over for lunch 53 00:03:18,060 --> 00:03:21,110 the same value systems we have today. 54 00:03:21,570 --> 00:03:25,480 I would say that this is where the future is going 55 00:03:25,990 --> 00:03:30,330 and the future design would depend on how far into the future 56 00:03:30,500 --> 00:03:33,430 and how far technology has gone. 57 00:03:33,570 --> 00:03:36,590 When they can read symbols and make diagnosis 58 00:03:36,820 --> 00:03:41,330 when a machine can do drafting instead of thousands of draftsmen... 59 00:03:41,480 --> 00:03:45,090 A machine can do drafting much faster than man. 60 00:03:45,290 --> 00:03:47,330 It can scan those lines in 61 00:03:47,480 --> 00:03:51,500 if you put in the specifications of what you want. 62 00:03:51,640 --> 00:03:56,750 If you want a hospital to house a thousand people 63 00:03:57,140 --> 00:03:59,690 with the most economical structures 64 00:04:00,180 --> 00:04:04,820 which have built-in heating and cooling systems 65 00:04:05,030 --> 00:04:08,600 all that can be stored in information systems. 66 00:04:09,030 --> 00:04:13,530 The building can probably be forthcoming in minutes 67 00:04:13,670 --> 00:04:16,990 than rather hours that it takes draftsmen to do it 68 00:04:17,490 --> 00:04:21,640 and the amount of draftsmen and the amount of space allotted for things 69 00:04:21,790 --> 00:04:25,990 will not be the same. If you took an industrial area 70 00:04:26,140 --> 00:04:28,280 with movable walls 71 00:04:28,760 --> 00:04:31,440 and if some manufacturing process needed 72 00:04:31,790 --> 00:04:37,020 the production of 100 aerocars a day 73 00:04:37,260 --> 00:04:39,450 that space could be assembled. 74 00:04:39,800 --> 00:04:43,510 The movable walls could move to accommodate the production methods. 75 00:04:43,890 --> 00:04:47,010 If the production methods are faster two years from now 76 00:04:47,250 --> 00:04:50,060 the walls come together, the factory is smaller 77 00:04:50,200 --> 00:04:52,260 and the production rate is higher. 78 00:04:52,450 --> 00:04:56,540 Whatever you have today: ovens, kitchens; all those things 79 00:04:56,690 --> 00:05:00,150 will be smaller in the future, produce things much faster 80 00:05:00,300 --> 00:05:02,980 and not occupy the same space. 81 00:05:03,130 --> 00:05:06,780 When you say "How much space do you need for hospitals?" 82 00:05:07,080 --> 00:05:10,300 It depends: If people eat nutritious food, do exercise 83 00:05:10,490 --> 00:05:12,690 you don't have many hospitals. 84 00:05:12,850 --> 00:05:16,980 I can't tell you exactly what the hospital space will be 85 00:05:17,140 --> 00:05:19,720 or how technical they will be. 86 00:05:19,920 --> 00:05:21,960 I can only say this: 87 00:05:22,100 --> 00:05:27,580 The future will occupy much less space for the same turnout 88 00:05:27,950 --> 00:05:32,810 and that's the message. If you try to design a city 89 00:05:33,040 --> 00:05:38,820 with a hundred drafting tables in it, or 30 machines 90 00:05:39,220 --> 00:05:41,370 that is with today's thinking. 91 00:05:41,530 --> 00:05:45,290 And the building will get...The zone that creates that 92 00:05:45,430 --> 00:05:47,980 will be smaller and have less people. 93 00:05:48,500 --> 00:05:50,820 Instead of having generalists 94 00:05:50,970 --> 00:05:53,360 where the doctor is a generalist and he knows 95 00:05:53,510 --> 00:05:57,070 everything from neurology to other physical problems 96 00:05:57,220 --> 00:06:00,480 it's much easier to have computers with that information. 97 00:06:00,730 --> 00:06:05,330 Not only do they scan you and record it in symbolic logic 98 00:06:05,690 --> 00:06:08,630 what the condition is, it is then read. 99 00:06:08,780 --> 00:06:12,980 Instead of doctors, it's read by a machine, very rapidly 100 00:06:13,190 --> 00:06:17,460 and then the appropriate action can be taken by a machine 101 00:06:17,610 --> 00:06:20,640 if it's surgery or whatever else is required. 102 00:06:21,050 --> 00:06:24,580 To sit down and design a surgical system 103 00:06:24,730 --> 00:06:28,610 based on today's values and today's methodology 104 00:06:28,760 --> 00:06:31,580 would be inappropriate for the future. 105 00:06:31,820 --> 00:06:35,540 A city of that size will do ten times the work 106 00:06:35,730 --> 00:06:38,810 that a city today of the same size does. 107 00:06:39,060 --> 00:06:41,950 That's why I can't give you an exact description 108 00:06:42,090 --> 00:06:47,130 of what hospitals will be like, only an overview, in general. 109 00:06:47,960 --> 00:06:50,940 A ship is a total enclosure system. 110 00:06:51,100 --> 00:06:54,720 A passenger liner that has a thousand passengers 111 00:06:54,970 --> 00:06:59,220 has hospital equipment, cooking, dining areas, sleeping areas 112 00:06:59,400 --> 00:07:03,670 air conditioned, children's room, and nurses take care of children. 113 00:07:03,860 --> 00:07:07,820 It has everything that a thousand passengers may need. 114 00:07:08,350 --> 00:07:13,480 Do you understand that? A ship is almost a total enclosure system. 115 00:07:13,680 --> 00:07:16,390 It doesn't generate its own energy. 116 00:07:16,550 --> 00:07:19,490 It uses machines, diesel engines 117 00:07:19,680 --> 00:07:23,180 to generate electricity to operate the generators. 118 00:07:23,340 --> 00:07:26,200 In the future, the surface of the ship 119 00:07:26,350 --> 00:07:30,090 will supply the energy needed. The wave power 120 00:07:30,260 --> 00:07:33,430 and the surrounding area will supply that ship 121 00:07:33,570 --> 00:07:37,940 with the energy it needs rather than require input. 122 00:07:38,210 --> 00:07:41,530 Most of the buildings that I draw that you see there 123 00:07:41,670 --> 00:07:46,240 can be put in the cities of the future on the outer perimeter. 124 00:07:46,480 --> 00:07:51,020 You need not... You can use the same basic drawings that I have today 125 00:07:51,410 --> 00:07:55,020 but trying to fill in the buildings, as to what's in them 126 00:07:55,170 --> 00:07:58,650 I'd rather not divulge that specific information. 127 00:07:59,510 --> 00:08:02,430 I can go into specifics 128 00:08:02,590 --> 00:08:06,400 but they would only serve temporarily. 129 00:08:06,740 --> 00:08:09,880 The method of delivery of people or moving people 130 00:08:10,040 --> 00:08:12,770 depends on the technology of the future 131 00:08:12,910 --> 00:08:17,590 and it depends on how easy it is to move people. 132 00:08:18,100 --> 00:08:22,150 If you have total enclosure systems, it means each system 133 00:08:22,300 --> 00:08:25,890 is self-operating. It doesn't depend on central power 134 00:08:26,040 --> 00:08:29,210 but they're all connected to the central computer 135 00:08:29,360 --> 00:08:32,700 and they're connected to all events in other cities. 136 00:08:33,040 --> 00:08:36,270 If the city system mechanisms fail 137 00:08:36,410 --> 00:08:38,540 other mechanisms take over 138 00:08:38,680 --> 00:08:41,720 and notify the appropriate people 139 00:08:41,870 --> 00:08:46,370 or the appropriate machines to carry out a given task. 140 00:08:47,930 --> 00:08:52,490 They took all kinds of cardiograms of me today 141 00:08:52,650 --> 00:08:54,910 and then it goes to the cardiologist. 142 00:08:55,060 --> 00:08:58,310 The blood test is divided into different systems 143 00:08:58,460 --> 00:09:01,630 where people with microscopes analyze the blood. 144 00:09:01,780 --> 00:09:05,450 Whatever they see, they draw conclusions. 145 00:09:06,110 --> 00:09:11,700 If it's symbolic rather than visual, they draw conclusions. 146 00:09:12,150 --> 00:09:16,100 Machines can draw the same conclusions and many more. 147 00:09:16,240 --> 00:09:19,190 (Roxanne) They've had experiments where they've given the same blood 148 00:09:19,340 --> 00:09:22,590 to many different labs and they drew up different conclusions. 149 00:09:22,730 --> 00:09:28,040 - I know, because their equipment varies in sensitivity, sometimes 150 00:09:28,370 --> 00:09:32,790 and the time period, the temperature and other variables 151 00:09:32,990 --> 00:09:37,120 which are not controlled. Also the profit motive 152 00:09:37,530 --> 00:09:41,640 affects how late their equipment is, how modern. 153 00:09:42,250 --> 00:09:45,390 People are more concerned with how many customers 154 00:09:45,660 --> 00:09:48,090 or how many clients they've had. 155 00:09:48,610 --> 00:09:53,970 The future concern is: optimizing human performance 156 00:09:54,190 --> 00:09:58,110 which is very different, or equipment performance 157 00:09:58,390 --> 00:10:00,970 making it date optimal 158 00:10:01,450 --> 00:10:04,560 and all information's available and no patents 159 00:10:04,780 --> 00:10:08,870 so you can use the latest information in designing your machinery. 160 00:10:09,120 --> 00:10:13,150 You can correspond with people that know more about it than you do 161 00:10:13,290 --> 00:10:18,120 or you can correspond with machines that know more about it than you do. 162 00:10:18,400 --> 00:10:21,840 I can't say. It depends on when it's built. 163 00:10:22,640 --> 00:10:25,670 "Total Enclosure Systems" from Series 4 (DVD or CD); Lecture Series 2010-2011